The Future of Artificial Intelligence & Ethics on the Road to Superintelligence
The
human brain, consisting of roughly 86 billion neurons, rivals the
world’s best supercomputers in terms of magnitude, efficiency, and
speed, using as little energy as a small 20-watt light bulb. Human
evolution took tens of thousands of years to adapt noticeable brain size
and architecture changes.
Evolution is a
slow process that can take eons for changes to occur. Technology, on the
other hand, is amazing in terms of how fast it is moving along,
blending into the world seamlessly. The technological evolution notably
occurs at a faster pace compared to biological evolution.
To
further understand the situation, imagine a frog in a pot of water that
heats up 1/10th of a degree Celsius every ten seconds. Even if the frog
remained in that water for, say an hour, it would be unable to feel the
minute changes in temperature. However, if the frog is dropped into
boiling water, the change is too sudden and the frog jumps away to avoid
fate.
Let's take
a gigantic chessboard and a grain of rice, for scale, and place each grain of
rice to a corresponding chess square following a sequence: for each passing
square, we double the amount. Upon applying this, we get:
1) 1
2) 2
3) 4
4) 8
And so on. You must be thinking, “What difference
does doubling a grain of rice for every box make?” But one must
remember that, at some point, the number from which the count started will be totally
indistinguishable to the end result. Still on the 41th square, it contains a mountainous 1 trillion grains of rice
pile.
41) 1,099,511,627,776
What started out as a measly amount, barely feeding a single ant, has become
massive enough to feed a city of 100,000 people for a year.
The Development Of Technology Over Time
In
the year 1959, the global output of transistor production of 60 million
was huge. It was deemed a manufacturing achievement to produce such an
amount. Although looking at the world today, it pales because of how
far the transistor development has come. A modern i7 Skylake processor
contains around
(Skip to 5:15 in the video, to hear the global transistor manufacturing achievement in 1959)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2466CBuOxVg
1,750,000,000
transistors. It would take 29 years of 1959’s transistor global
production to match one i7 Skylake transistor count.
The
transistor manufacturing size in an i7 Skylake processor is 14 nm. For
reference, a silicon atom is about 0.1176 nm across: 14/0.1176=119
Meaning, a transistor in an i7 Skylake processor is only about 119 atoms
across.
Therefore, one can conclude that it takes technology to
build technology. In the past, civilization was limited to the usage of
paper and writing. Calculations done by hand tend to be slow and
tedious.
Whyfuture.com - Lets think about the future
Artifical Intelligence - The Future - Ethics on AI & more
(Read more on Post: Artificial Intelligence & Ethics on the Road to Superintelligence )
0 comments
Post a Comment